Despite claims of groundbreaking advancements, reports suggest that OpenAI's new Orion model offers only marginal improvements over its predecessor, GPT-4. This raises questions about whether the field of AI is approaching a plateau.
While OpenAI has revolutionized AI with its language models, its focus appears to be shifting towards commercialization. Despite their aggressive pursuit of Artificial General Intelligence (AGI), the anticipated "major leap" with Orion may not materialize.
According to a report by The Information, Orion primarily improves language capabilities but doesn't significantly outperform GPT-4 in other areas like programming. Moreover, Orion is expected to be more resource-intensive, posing operational challenges for data centers.
OpenAI attributes the slower pace of improvement to the scarcity of high-quality training data. Having exhausted most publicly available data, they've formed a "Foundations Team" to seek new and unique information sources.
This slowdown in language model development isn't unique to OpenAI, suggesting a potential industry-wide stagnation. The hope is that AGI might pave the way for more significant advancements in the future.